Prognosis
In
most cases, CF causes an early death. Average life expectancy is around
36.8 years according to the Cystic Fibrosis Foundation, although improvements
in treatments mean a baby born today could expect to live longer.
Epidemiology
Cystic
fibrosis is the most common life-limiting autosomal recessive disease
among people of European heritage. In the United States, approximately
30,000 individuals have CF; most are diagnosed by six months of age.
Canada has approximately 3,000 citizens with CF. Approximately 1 in
25 people of European descent and 1 in 22 people of Ashkenazi Jewish
descent is a carrier of a cystic fibrosis mutation. Although CF is less
common in these groups, approximately 1 in 46 Hispanics, 1 in 65 Africans
and 1 in 90 Asians carry at least one abnormal CFTR gene.
Cystic
fibrosis is diagnosed in males and females equally. For unclear reasons,
males tend to have a longer life expectancy than females. Life expectancy
for people with CF depends largely upon access to health care. In 1959,
the median age of survival of children with cystic fibrosis was six
months. In the United States, the life expectancy for infants born in
2006 with CF is 36.8 years, based upon data compiled by the Cystic Fibrosis
Foundation.
The Cystic Fibrosis Foundation also
compiles lifestyle information about American adults with CF. In 2004,
the foundation reported that 91% had graduated high school and 54% had
at least some college education. Employment data revealed 12.6% of adults
were disabled and 9.9% were unemployed. Marital information showed that
59% of adults were single and 36% were married or living with a partner.
In 2004, 191 American women with CF were pregnant.
Theories
about the prevalence of CF
The
?F508 mutation is estimated to be up to 52,000 years old. Numerous hypotheses
have been advanced as to why such a lethal mutation has persisted and
spread in the human population. Other common autosomal recessive diseases
such as sickle-cell anemia have been found to protect carriers from
other diseases, a concept known as heterozygote advantage. Resistance
to the following have all been proposed as possible sources of heterozygote
advantage:
* Cholera: With the discovery that cholera toxin requires normal host
CFTR proteins to function properly, it was hypothesized that carriers
of mutant CFTR genes benefited from resistance to cholera and other
causes of diarrhea.Further studies have not confirmed this hypothesis.
* Typhoid: Normal CFTR proteins are also essential for the entry of
Salmonella typhi into cells, suggesting that carriers of mutant CFTR
genes might be resistant to typhoid fever. No in vivo study has yet
confirmed this. In both cases, the low level of cystic fibrosis outside
of Europe, in places where both cholera and typhoid fever are endemic,
is not immediately explicable.
* Diarrhoea: It has also been hypothesized that the prevalence of CF
in Europe might be connected with the development of cattle domestication.
In this hypothesis, carriers of a single mutant CFTR chromosome had
some protection from diarrhoea caused by lactose intolerance, prior
to the appearance of the mutations that created lactose tolerance.
* Tuberculosis: Poolman and Galvani from Yale University have added
another possible explanation - that carriers of the gene have some resistance
to TB.